
- Journal of Geographical Sciences
- Vol. 30, Issue 7, 1117 (2020)
Abstract
1 Introduction
Eco-efficiency is considered to be a measure of coordinated development of economy, resources, environment and ecology, and is therefore an important issue currently. Eco-efficiency can not only provide effective metrics for sustainable development but also comprehensively reflect economic resources and the actual level of coordinated development of environmental-ecological complex systems. Hence, many studies have been done in the academic community on the issue of regional eco-efficiency. Relevant literature focuses on the analysis and evaluation of the concepts and connotations of eco-efficiency, evaluation indicators, measurement methods and models, the relationship between eco-efficiency and economic development factors, the quantitative evaluation of different scale systems, convergence and influencing factors, the timing of eco-efficiency and the characteristics of change and spatial differences. Research areas involve enterprises, industries, regions and countries. At the provincial and industrial levels (
Over the past 30 years, China has experienced rapid development of reform and opening up, its economic and social development have entered a “new normal”. Whether it can achieve economic growth under the new normal and coordinated development of resources and environment, and get rid of the current “high energy consumption, high pollution and low development dilemma of efficiency and inconsistency to realize ecological priority and green development are important challenges to regional strategic development since the 18th National Congress in 2012. The ecological development path, taking social, economic and resource environment into account, will eventually be the inevitable choice for the future development of China's regions. Although the economy of the Yangtze River Economic Zone (YREZ) has developed rapidly over recent decades, the rationality and ecological protection of development and utilization have not been considered. This has resulted in a decline in the quality of the ecological environment over the whole region because of the intense human activities and long-term development.
If the current course of development and exploitation is not stopped and constrained, it will affect China's overall eco-environment. The State Council issued the “Outline for the Development Plan of the Yangtze River Economic Zone” and pointed out that the Yangtze River Economic Zone Strategy is a major regional development strategy of China, and clearly puts forward that the development of the YREZ must take the path of ecological priority and green development. With the deepening understanding of the concept of sustainability, the relationship between the environment and the economy has become more and more important, and the concept of eco-efficiency has been increasingly favored by relevant scholars. Facing the increased severe ecological and environmental problems, it is increasingly necessary to realize the green, healthy and coordinated development of the economy, resources, environment and ecology, improving the regional eco-efficiency of the YREZ. This choice is a major innovation in the development path of the YREZ. Considering the worldwide research, the input-output theory and the ecological environmental issues of the YREZ, the aim of this study is therefore to evaluate regional eco-efficiency of the YREZ in depth, characterized by the optimal allocation of limited resources and the efficient use of resources, in a comprehensive way of capital, labor, energy and land. A dynamic and complex system, developed considering various factors such as water resources under continuous input and output conditions, in which the desired output value is as much as possible, while at the same time producing as little or no undesired output as possible, is the ultimate goal. The process of eco-efficiency is accompanied by the following characteristics: reducing various pollutants emitted from undesired outputs due to the high intensity of resource consumption, improving the output capacity of regional production systems, and enhancing its sustainable development capacity.
2 Study sites and data
2.1 Study sites
The YREZ covers 11 provincial-level regions according to the Outline for the Development Plan of the YREZ, including Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui, Jiangxi, Hubei, Hunan, Chongqing, Sichuan, Yunnan, and Guizhou (
Figure 1.
2.2 Data sources
We selected 2000, 2005, 2010, and 2015 as the investigated years. The relevant data required for the research are derived from: China Urban Statistical Yearbook, China Energy Statistical Yearbook, China Industrial Statistical Yearbook, China Labor Statistical Yearbook, China Environmental Statistical Yearbook, China Demographic Yearbook, 11 provinces and cities statistical yearbooks and statistical bulletins and the China Economic and Social Big Data Research Platform (
3 Method
3.1 Construction of evaluation indicators
Constructing a reasonable input-output index system is the premise and basis for objectively evaluating regional eco-efficiency. Based on the previous summaries and research results, we established an evaluation index system for regional eco-efficiency (
Indicator type | Indicator attribute | Indicator name (unit) |
---|---|---|
Input | Capital | Fixed assets investment (ten thousand yuan) |
Labor force | Employed population (10,000 people) | |
Energy | Energy consumption per 10 thousand yuan GDP | |
Land | Urban construction land area (square kilometers) | |
Water resources | Total urban water use (10,000 tons) | |
Desired output | Total economic development | Regional GDP (100 million yuan) |
Undesired output | Wastewater disposal | Wastewater discharge (10,000 tons) |
Exhaust emissions | Exhaust emissions (10,000 tons) | |
Solid waste discharge | Solid waste discharge (10,000 tons) |
Table 1.
The index system of eco-efficiency
3.2 SBM-DEA model
In order to consider the problem of undesired output,
The SBM model is used to measure the eco-efficiency, which can effectively reflect the real situation and is in line with the needs of the actual situation. Furthermore, the model can effectively avoid the deviation and impact of the radial and angular problems in the efficiency measurement.
The model is expressed as:
where
3.3 Spatial analysis model
3.3.1 Global spatial autocorrelation calculations
We use the global Moran's
where
where
3.3.2 Local spatial autocorrelation calculations
The global spatial autocorrelation assumes that the space is homogeneous and cannot reflect the local agglomeration characteristics. Hence, local spatial autocorrelation analysis is needed.
The local Moran's index is calculated as:
where
3.3.3 Standard deviation ellipse calculations
Welty Pfeiffer (a professor of sociology from the University of Southern California,) proposed the “Standard Deviation Ellipse” in 1926 where he expounded a common method to measure the trend of a set of points or regions and the method calculated the standard distances at the directions of
where
where
4 Results and discussion
We set the regional eco-efficiency of the YREZ as the evaluation object of Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), in which every city (a total of 129) was considered as a decision-making unit of DEA. Each decision-making unit had a common input-output index which was obtained through the calculation of regional cities' eco-efficiency value (
Decision | Evaluation value | Stdevp | Decision | Evaluation value | Stdevp | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | 2005 | 2010 | 2015 | 2000 | 2005 | 2010 | 2015 | ||||
Kunming (H1) | 0.173 | 0.270 | 0.236 | 0.278 | 0.041 | Ziyang (H43) | 0.126 | 0.504 | 0.168 | 0.603 | 0.207 |
Qujing (H2) | 0.143 | 0.471 | 0.165 | 0.236 | 0.130 | Ngawa* (H44) | 0.080 | 0.162 | 0.055 | 0.193 | 0.057 |
Yuxi (H3) | 0.287 | 1.000 | 0.253 | 0.350 | 0.306 | Garzê* (H45) | 0.061 | 0.118 | 0.053 | 0.155 | 0.042 |
Zhaotong (H4) | 0.132 | 0.434 | 0.127 | 0.207 | 0.125 | Liangshan* (H46) | 0.502 | 0.697 | 0.194 | 1.000 | 0.293 |
Chuxiong (H5) | 0.166 | 0.397 | 0.148 | 0.147 | 0.106 | Chongqing (H47) | 0.174 | 0.368 | 0.413 | 0.512 | 0.123 |
Honghe (H6) | 0.238 | 0.481 | 0.269 | 0.367 | 0.095 | Wuhan (H48) | 0.361 | 0.535 | 0.514 | 1.000 | 0.239 |
Wenshan (H7) | 0.114 | 0.362 | 0.130 | 0.192 | 0.098 | Huangshi (H49) | 0.233 | 0.381 | 0.254 | 0.554 | 0.128 |
Puer (H8) | 0.084 | 0.323 | 0.105 | 0.189 | 0.094 | Shiyan (H50) | 0.193 | 0.385 | 0.221 | 0.525 | 0.134 |
Xishuangbanna* (H9) | 0.109 | 0.271 | 0.127 | 0.155 | 0.063 | Jingzhou (H51) | 0.234 | 0.519 | 0.277 | 0.694 | 0.187 |
Dali* (H10) | 0.257 | 0.826 | 0.168 | 0.334 | 0.255 | Yichang (H52) | 0.295 | 0.637 | 0.409 | 1.000 | 0.269 |
Baoshan (H11) | 0.111 | 0.289 | 0.125 | 0.170 | 0.070 | Xiangyang (H53) | 0.292 | 0.687 | 0.675 | 1.000 | 0.251 |
Dehong (H12) | 0.081 | 0.170 | 0.113 | 0.112 | 0.032 | Ezhou (H54) | 0.165 | 0.201 | 0.263 | 0.562 | 0.157 |
Lijiang (H13) | 0.057 | 0.164 | 0.072 | 0.117 | 0.042 | Jingmen (H55) | 0.331 | 0.670 | 0.443 | 0.780 | 0.178 |
Nujiang (H14) | 0.034 | 0.081 | 0.098 | 0.072 | 0.023 | Xiaogan (H56) | 0.269 | 1.000 | 0.212 | 0.722 | 0.326 |
Diqing* (H15) | 0.035 | 0.135 | 0.084 | 0.114 | 0.037 | Huanggang (H57) | 0.431 | 1.000 | 0.403 | 1.000 | 0.292 |
Lincang (H16) | 0.089 | 0.374 | 0.101 | 0.183 | 0.114 | Xianning (H58) | 0.230 | 0.819 | 0.387 | 1.000 | 0.312 |
Guiyang (H17) | 0.081 | 0.102 | 0.167 | 0.399 | 0.126 | Enshi* (H59) | 0.261 | 0.489 | 0.377 | 0.639 | 0.139 |
Liupanshui (H18) | 0.060 | 0.159 | 0.115 | 0.565 | 0.199 | Suizhou (H60) | 0.443 | 0.617 | 0.511 | 1.000 | 0.215 |
Zunyi (H19) | 0.115 | 0.298 | 0.197 | 0.530 | 0.156 | Xiantao (H61) | 0.447 | 0.302 | 0.180 | 1.000 | 0.313 |
Tongren (H20) | 0.050 | 0.259 | 0.079 | 0.348 | 0.124 | Tianmen (H62) | 0.392 | 0.232 | 0.110 | 0.493 | 0.147 |
SW Guizhou* (H21) | 0.054 | 0.248 | 0.070 | 0.354 | 0.125 | Qianjing (H63) | 0.201 | 0.213 | 0.167 | 1.000 | 0.350 |
Bijie (H22) | 0.096 | 0.324 | 0.126 | 1.000 | 0.365 | Changsha (H64) | 0.154 | 1.000 | 0.513 | 0.710 | 0.308 |
Anshun (H23) | 0.055 | 0.154 | 0.072 | 0.297 | 0.096 | Zhuzhou (H65) | 0.110 | 0.790 | 0.162 | 0.426 | 0.270 |
SE Guizhou* (H24) | 0.059 | 0.166 | 0.073 | 0.388 | 0.132 | Xiangtan (H66) | 0.080 | 0.543 | 0.124 | 0.393 | 0.191 |
Qiannan* (H25) | 0.091 | 1.000 | 0.082 | 0.485 | 0.375 | Hengyang (H67) | 0.095 | 0.784 | 0.170 | 0.420 | 0.269 |
Chengdu (H26) | 0.217 | 0.455 | 0.428 | 0.587 | 0.133 | Shaoyang (H68) | 0.125 | 0.635 | 0.097 | 0.396 | 0.219 |
Zigong (H27) | 0.091 | 0.224 | 0.126 | 0.372 | 0.109 | Yueyang (H69) | 0.106 | 1.000 | 0.175 | 0.567 | 0.357 |
Panzhihua (H28) | 0.082 | 0.180 | 0.120 | 0.224 | 0.054 | Changde (H70) | 0.013 | 1.000 | 0.245 | 0.668 | 0.381 |
Luzhou (H29) | 0.085 | 0.174 | 0.104 | 0.335 | 0.098 | Zhangjiajie (H71) | 0.078 | 0.398 | 0.097 | 0.299 | 0.135 |
Deyang (H30) | 0.131 | 0.319 | 0.152 | 0.503 | 0.150 | Yiyang (H72) | 0.108 | 0.723 | 0.132 | 0.415 | 0.250 |
Mianyang (H31) | 0.128 | 0.313 | 0.124 | 0.401 | 0.120 | Chenzhou (H73) | 0.106 | 1.000 | 0.130 | 0.402 | 0.360 |
Guangyuan (H32) | 0.057 | 0.122 | 0.078 | 0.256 | 0.077 | Yongzhou (H74) | 1.000 | 0.597 | 0.104 | 0.387 | 0.327 |
Suining (H33) | 0.089 | 0.183 | 0.111 | 0.309 | 0.086 | Huaihua (H75) | 0.129 | 0.677 | 0.126 | 0.465 | 0.234 |
Neijiang (H34) | 0.062 | 0.263 | 0.117 | 0.413 | 0.137 | Loudi (H76) | 0.112 | 0.612 | 0.114 | 0.413 | 0.212 |
Leshan (H35) | 0.057 | 0.274 | 0.124 | 0.382 | 0.127 | Xiangxi (H77) | 0.054 | 0.138 | 1.000 | 0.268 | 0.374 |
Nanchong (H36) | 0.077 | 0.214 | 0.123 | 0.369 | 0.111 | Nanchang (H78) | 0.135 | 0.251 | 0.267 | 0.327 | 0.070 |
Yibin (H37) | 0.070 | 0.354 | 0.186 | 0.443 | 0.145 | Jingdezhen (H79) | 0.088 | 0.160 | 0.092 | 0.154 | 0.034 |
Guangan (H38) | 1.000 | 0.279 | 0.077 | 0.350 | 0.346 | Pingxiang (H80) | 0.099 | 0.142 | 0.085 | 0.164 | 0.032 |
Dazhou (H39) | 0.126 | 0.343 | 0.235 | 0.425 | 0.113 | Jiujiang (H81) | 0.079 | 0.177 | 0.120 | 0.258 | 0.067 |
Yaan (H40) | 0.065 | 0.202 | 0.063 | 0.405 | 0.140 | Xinyu (H82) | 0.084 | 0.131 | 0.117 | 0.174 | 0.032 |
Bazhong (H41) | 0.064 | 0.272 | 0.091 | 0.310 | 0.108 | Yingtan (H83) | 0.079 | 0.162 | 0.089 | 0.198 | 0.050 |
Meishan (H42) | 0.088 | 0.369 | 0.197 | 0.225 | 0.100 | Ganzhou (H84) | 0.156 | 0.347 | 0.154 | 0.249 | 0.079 |
Fuzhou (H85) | 0.152 | 0.214 | 0.111 | 0.238 | 0.050 | Changzhou (H108) | 0.482 | 0.428 | 0.381 | 0.679 | 0.114 |
Ji'an (H86) | 0.255 | 0.283 | 0.111 | 0.235 | 0.066 | Suzhou2) (H109) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.000 |
Yichun (H87) | 0.252 | 0.239 | 0.108 | 0.262 | 0.062 | Nantong (H110) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.744 | 1.000 | 0.111 |
Shangrao (H88) | 0.266 | 0.361 | 0.124 | 0.309 | 0.088 | Lianyungang (H111) | 0.371 | 0.395 | 0.239 | 0.468 | 0.083 |
Hefei (H89) | 1.000 | 0.247 | 0.358 | 0.525 | 0.288 | Huai'an (H112) | 0.364 | 0.331 | 0.200 | 0.466 | 0.095 |
Wuhu (H90) | 0.455 | 0.182 | 0.175 | 0.456 | 0.139 | Yancheng (H113) | 0.820 | 0.731 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.117 |
Bengbu (H91) | 0.281 | 0.168 | 0.108 | 0.261 | 0.070 | Yangzhou (H114) | 0.573 | 0.599 | 0.608 | 0.757 | 0.072 |
Huainan (H92) | 0.294 | 0.117 | 0.140 | 0.292 | 0.083 | Zhenjiang (H115) | 0.460 | 0.487 | 0.529 | 1.000 | 0.221 |
Maanshan (H93) | 1.000 | 0.145 | 0.121 | 0.318 | 0.357 | Taizhou3) (H116) | 0.544 | 0.738 | 1.000 | 0.819 | 0.164 |
Huaibei (H94) | 0.241 | 0.141 | 0.095 | 0.284 | 0.076 | Suqian (H117) | 1.000 | 0.782 | 0.265 | 0.643 | 0.268 |
Tongling (H95) | 0.430 | 0.141 | 0.136 | 0.324 | 0.125 | Hangzhou (H118) | 0.589 | 1.000 | 0.626 | 1.000 | 0.197 |
Anqing (H96) | 0.328 | 0.228 | 0.103 | 0.404 | 0.113 | Ningbo (H119) | 0.733 | 1.000 | 0.663 | 1.000 | 0.153 |
Huangshan (H97) | 0.326 | 0.201 | 0.099 | 0.301 | 0.090 | Jiaxing (H120) | 0.583 | 0.738 | 0.456 | 0.672 | 0.106 |
Chuzhou (H98) | 0.436 | 0.499 | 0.156 | 0.417 | 0.131 | Huzhou (H121) | 0.554 | 0.741 | 0.293 | 1.000 | 0.259 |
Fuyang (H99) | 0.234 | 0.173 | 0.114 | 0.423 | 0.116 | Shaoxing (H122) | 0.600 | 0.436 | 1.000 | 0.504 | 0.219 |
Suzhou1) (H100) | 0.308 | 0.210 | 0.119 | 0.419 | 0.112 | Zhoushan (H123) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.130 | 0.532 | 0.363 |
Lu'an (H101) | 0.298 | 0.216 | 0.140 | 0.403 | 0.097 | Wenzhou (H124) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.000 |
Xuancheng (H102) | 0.476 | 0.564 | 0.999 | 1.000 | 0.242 | Jinhua (H125) | 0.539 | 0.655 | 1.000 | 0.904 | 0.185 |
Chizhou (H103) | 0.190 | 0.245 | 0.088 | 0.338 | 0.091 | Quzhou (H126) | 0.284 | 0.319 | 0.373 | 0.420 | 0.052 |
Bozhou (H104) | 0.417 | 0.291 | 0.099 | 0.388 | 0.124 | Taizhou4) (H127) | 0.853 | 1.000 | 0.654 | 0.608 | 0.158 |
Nanjing (H105) | 0.291 | 0.371 | 0.490 | 0.797 | 0.192 | Lishui (H128) | 0.308 | 0.650 | 0.470 | 1.000 | 0.257 |
Wuxi (H106) | 0.919 | 1.000 | 0.788 | 0.880 | 0.076 | Shanghai (H129) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.000 |
Xuzhou (H107) | 0.386 | 0.621 | 0.494 | 0.670 | 0.111 |
Table 2.
Eco-efficiency of each city in the Yangtze River Economic Zone (The number of letter “H” is corresponding to Figures 2 and 3)
Classification | Low level | Medium level | Medium to high level | High level | Relatively effective | Fully effective |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eco-efficiency | (0, 0.2] | (0.2, 0.4) | (0.4, 0.6] | (0.6, 0.8] | (0.8, 1) | 1 |
Table 3.
Division of eco-efficiency levels
4.1 Measurement and evaluation of regional eco-efficiency in the YREZ
4.1.1 Changes of eco-efficiency at the prefecture cities scale
We encoded H1-H129 for 129 DEA decision units to facilitate the software to process the data. Combined with
Figure 2.
Figure 3.
At the time scales, there were 10 fully effective DEA cities in Guang'an, Yongzhou, Hefei, Shanghai, etc., which accounted for 7.8% of the total number. Moreover, many decision-making units had problems of regional eco-efficiency loss and low levels of efficiency. A total of 16 prefecture cities showed they were fully effective in 2005, accounting for about 12.4% of the total, which was an increase compared with 2000; 8 cities were fully effective in 2010, accounting for 6.2% of the total, which was a reduction when compared with 2005; 20 cities were fully effective in 2015, accounting for 15.5% of the total, which was an increase when compared with 2010. From 2000 to 2015, most prefecture cities had fully effective regional eco-efficiency and were located in the downstream areas and showed a fluctuating growth trend. The number of relatively effective and high-level cities had increased, most of which are distributed in the downstream; medium and medium-high levels were higher than the lower-level cities in total and most of these were concentrated in the middle and upper reaches, while the low-level cities are mostly located in the upper reaches. Overall, regional eco-efficiency levels differed highly in spatial distributed patterns.
In summary, the regional eco-efficiency was generally in a volatile rising trend from 2000 to 2015. It was in a rising trend period from 2000 to 2005, and the average value increased from 0.29 to 0.45. From 2005 to 2010, there was a downward trend with an average value decreasing from 0.45 to 0.27. There was a sharp upward trend between 2010 and 2015, with the average value rising from 0.27 to 0.50. The study years of 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015, represent the “Ninth Five-Year Plan”, “Tenth Five-Year Plan”, “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” and “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” of China's national economic and social development, respectively. During the planning period, the development of each “five-year plan” is different and there are significant local differences and overall imbalance. The obvious changes were evident from the “Ninth Five-Year Plan” to the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” where the relatively high areas of the lower reaches of the Yangtze River gradually expanded to the middle and upper reaches and the low-value areas decreased.
4.1.2 Changes of eco-efficiency at the provincial scale
Figure 4.
Figure 5.
4.1.3 Changes in eco-efficiency in different reaches
Based on the previous results, we analyzed the eco-efficiency of different reaches in the YREZ. The regional eco-efficiency of the YREZ had significant regional differences, i.e. the distribution in the upper, middle and lower reaches was uneven (
Figure 6.
4.2 Spatial pattern of regional eco-efficiency in the YREZ
4.2.1 Global spatial autocorrelation
Year | Moran's | Standard deviation | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | 0.5372 | 0.6670 | 7.9833 | 0.01 |
2005 | 0.3770 | 0.0707 | 5.4944 | 0.01 |
2010 | 0.5660 | 0.0651 | 8.7050 | 0.01 |
2015 | 0.5365 | 0.0638 | 8.4087 | 0.01 |
Table 4.
Statistical values of regional eco-efficiency in the Yangtze River Economic Zone
4.2.2 Local spatial autocorrelation
The eco-efficiency Moran's index I scatter plot is primarily used to identify the relationship between the various regions of the decision-making unit and the eco-efficiency levels of its adjacent regions. Its four quadrants represent four different types of spatial agglomeration mode, wherein, if the decision unit falls in the first and third quadrants, it belongs to the positive spatial autocorrelation; if the decision unit falls in the second and fourth quadrants, it is a negative spatial autocorrelation. As shown in
Figure 7.
Year | First-quadrant | Second-quadrant | Third-quadrant | Fourth-quadrant |
---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | Yuxi, Chongqing, Xianning, Jingdezhen, Pingxiang, Ganzhou, Fuzhou, Wuhu, Huaibei, Tongling, Anqing, Chuzhou, Fuyang, Suzhou1), Lu'an, Xuancheng, Chizhou, Bozhou, Nanjing, Wuxi, Xuzhou, Changzhou, Suzhou2), Nantong, Lianyungang, Huai'an, Yancheng, Taizhou3), Suqian, Hangzhou, Ningbo, Jiaxing, Huzhou, Shaoxing, Jinhua, Quzhou, Lishui, Yangzhou, Zhenjiang | Kunming, Mianyang, Guangyuan, Ya'an, Ji'an, Liangshan, Xiangyang, Changsha, Changde, Shangrao, Hefei, Huainan, Huangshan, Taizhou4), Shanghai | Qvjing, Zhaotong, Chuxiong, Honghe, Wenshan, Pu'er, Dali*, Baoshan, Dehong, Lijiang, Diqing*, Lincang, Guiyang, Liupanshui, Tongren, SW Guizhou*, Bijie, Anshun, SE Guizhou, Qiannan*, Chengdu, Zigong, Panzhihua, Luzhou, Deyang, Neijiang, Leshan, Nanchong, Yibin, Guang'an, Dazhou, Bazhong, Meishan, Ziyang, A'ba*, Ganzi, Huangshi, Shiyan, Jingzhou, Yichang, Ezhou, Jingmen, Xiaogan, Huanggang, Enshi*, Suizhou, Xiantao, Tianmen, Qianjiang, Xiangtan, Hengyang, Shaoyang, Yueyang, Zhangjiaji, Yiyang, Chenzhou, Yongzhou, Huaihua, Loudi, Nanchang, Jiujiang, Xinyu, Maanshan, Zhoushan, Wenzhou, Sipsongpanna*, Zunyi | Nujiang, Sui- ning, Wuhan, Zhuzhou, Xiangxi, Yingtan, Yichun, Bengbu |
2005 | Yuxi, Bijie, Chongqing, Wuhan, Jingmen, Xiaogan, Xianning, Enshi*, Suizhou, Xiantao, Tianmen, Qianjiang, Changsha, Zhuzhou, Changde, Xinyu, Ganzhou, Fuzhou, Huaibei, Tongling, Anqing, Suzhou1), Lu'an, Chizhou, Bozhou, Nanjing, Wuxi, Xuzhou, Lianyungang, Taizhou3), Suqian, Hangzhou, Jinhua | Kunming, Qvjing, Dali*, Baoshan, Diqing*, Guiyang, Anshun, Liangshan, Shiyan, Jingzhou, Yueyang, Jiujiang, Chuzhou, Fu- yang, Ningbo, Shaoxing, Zhoushan, Quzhou, Taizhou4) | Zhaotong, Chuxiong, Wenshan, Pu'er, Sipsongpanna*, Dehong, lijiang, liupanshui, Zunyi, Tongren, SE Guizhou*, Qiannan*, Chengdu, Zigong, Panzhihua, Luzhou, Deyang, Mianyang, Guangyuan, Suining, Neijiang, Nanchong, Yibin, Guang'an, Dazhou, Ya'an, Bazhong, Meishan, Ziyang, Ganzi, Yichang, Xiangyang, Xiangtan, Hengyang, Shaoyang, Zhangjiajie, Yiyang, Chenzhou, Yongzhou, Huaihua, Loudi, Xiangxi, Nanchang, Jingdezhen, Pingxiang, Ji'an, Yichun, Shangrao, Hefei, Wuhu, Bengbu, Maanshan, Huangshan, Xuancheng, Changzhou, Suzhou2), Nantong, Huai'an, Yancheng, Yangzhou, Lishui | Honghe, Nujiang, Lincang, Leshan, A'ba*, Huangshi, Ezhou, Huanggang, Yingtan, Huainan, Zhenjiang, Jiaxing, Huzhou, Wenzhou, SW Guizhou, |
2010 | Chongqing, Wuhan, Huangshi, Xianning, Yingtan, Ganzhou, Fuzhou, Huaibei, Tongling, Anqing, Huangshan, Chuzhou, Fuyang, Suzhou1), Lu'an, Chizhou, Bozhou, Nanjing, Wuxi, Xuzhou, Changzhou, Nantong, Lianyungang, Taizhou3), Suqian, Hangzhou, Jinhua | Kunming, Yuxi, Liangshan*, Shiyan, Yichang, Ezhou, Enshi*, Jiu- jiang, Huainan, Suzhou2), Ningbo, Jia- xing, Shaoxing, Quzhou, Taizhou4), Lishui | Qvjing, Zhaotong, Chuxiong, Honghe, Wenshan, Pu'er, Sipsongpanna*, Dali*, Baoshan, Dehong, lijiang, Nujiang, Diqing*, Guiyang, Liupanshui, Zunyi, Tongren, SW Guizhou*, Bijie, Anshun, | Lincang, A'ba*, Jingzhou, Xiangyang, Suizhou, Chenzhou, Xinyu, Yancheng, Huzhou, Shanghai |
2015 | Kunming, Yuxi, Anshun, Liangshan, Chongqing, Wuhan, Huangshi, Huanggang, Xianning, Enshi*, Jiujiang, Xinyu, Yingtan, Ganzhou, Fuzhou, Huainan, Huaibei, Tongling, Anqing, Chuzhou, Fuyang, Suzhou1), Lu'an, Chizhou, Bozhou, Nanjing, Wuxi, Xuzhou, Changzhou, Nantong, Lianyungang, Taizhou3), Suqian, Hangzhou, Jiaxing, Jinhua, Quzhou, Taizhou4), Lishui, Shanghai | Zunyi, Bijie, SW Guizhou*, Shiyan, Jingmen, Yongzhou, Pingxiang, Huangshan, Xuancheng, Suzhou2), Ningbo, | Qvjing, Zhaotong, Chuxiong, Honghe, Wenshan, Pu'er, Sipsongpanna*, Dali*, Baoshan, Dehong, lijiang, Diqing*, Lincang, Guiyang, liupanshui, Tongren, Qiannan*, Chengdu, Zigong, Panzhihua, Luzhou, Mianyang, Guangyuan, Suining, Neijiang, Nanchong, Yibin, Guang'an, Dazhou, Ya'an, Bazhong, Meishan, Ganzi, Jingzhou, Yichang, Ezhou, Xiaogan, Xiantao, Tianmen, Qianjiang, Changsha, Zhuzhou, Xiangtan, Hengyang, Shaoyang, Yueyang, Changde, Zhangjiajie, Yiyang, Chenzhou, Huaihua, Loudi, Xiangxi, Nanchang, Jingdezhen, Ji'an, Yichun, Shangrao, Hefei, Wuhu, Bengbu, Maanshan, Huai'an, Yangzhou, Zhenjiang, Zhoushan, Wenzhou | Nujiang, Deyang, Leshan, Ziyang, A'ba*, Xiangyang, Suizhou, Yancheng, SE2Guizhou*, Huzhou |
Table 5.
Information of Moran's I scatter plot of regional eco-efficiency in the Yangtze River Economic Zone
From the viewpoint of various agglomeration areas, the regional eco-efficiency of different periods was clearly different. There were large differences in the distribution of high-high concentration areas in different periods. In 2000, there were 39 prefectures and cities, accounting for 30.2% of the total. In 2005, the total number of prefectures and cities decreased, with 33 prefectures, accounting for 25.6% of the total. The number continued to decrease in 2010; only 27 prefectures and cities were high-high concentration areas, accounting for 20.9% of the total. In 2015, it increased significantly and reached 40 prefectures and cities, accounting for 31.0% of the total; the low-low concentration areas in different periods are larger in terms of total proportion or overall change. The total number of prefectures and cities had decreased from 67 in 2000 to 61 in 2005 but in 2010, this increased to 76. In 2015, the total number of prefectures and cities was the same as in 2000, and it was spatially distributed and nonadjacent to other agglomeration areas; the increased or decreased distributions of the total number of low-high and high-low agglomeration areas were related to the distributed patterns of high-high agglomeration areas. Shanghai appeared in two high-low agglomeration areas, indicating that the eco-efficiency levels in Shanghai's surrounding areas in 2005 and 2010 were large and could not form high-high agglomeration areas, and low-high agglomeration areas were basically distributed in areas of high agglomeration.
Around the district, many low-concentration areas such as Kunming, Taizhou (Zhejiang), and Ningbo were stable. They were the low agglomeration areas in different periods and had not changed to high-concentration areas. The reason is that most of the cities in the area produced a diffusion effect on the surrounding area. For urban changes of each agglomeration area, the regional eco-efficiency level had obvious agglomeration and liquidity. From 2000 to 2015, the most commonly related types of adjacent cities and their adjacent areas maintained the same level, which accounted for 51.9% of the total, indicating that most cities and their adjacent cities had a high degree of spatial stability.
We found that only four cities passed the 0.1% significance level test in 2000 and 17 cities passed the 1% significance level test, including Huai'an, Zhangzhou, Taizhou (Jiangsu), 37 cities (such as Lianyungang and Hefei) passed the 5% significance level. In general, the number of cities with high-concentration areas accounted for 22.5% of the total in 2000, but less than the proportion of low accumulation areas in the total. In 2005, only Shanghai and Nantong were located in the high-concentration areas and passed the 0.1% significance level; the cities with 1% significance level were Ningbo, Chizhou, Bozhou, Suzhou (Jiangsu) and Yiyang; 12 prefectures, such as Wenshan passed the 5% significance level test; in 2005, the eco-efficiency level of YREZ was not high and needed to be improved. In 2010, there were 6 prefectures, including Nantong and Taizhou (Jiangsu), which passed the 0.1% significance level test, all of which were located in high-concentration areas; 7 cities, including Shanghai and Suzhou (Jiangsu), passed the 1% significance level. Among the 18 significant cities, such as Dali, Liangshan, Liupanshui, Guiyang, and Qiandongnan, only Yancheng, Yangzhou, Ningbo, and Enshi were in high-high concentration areas, and the rest were in low-low concentration areas. In 2015, the regional eco-efficiency was tested by the 0.1% significance level and included Nantong and Taizhou (Jiangsu). Among them, Nantong, Taizhou (Jiangsu) and Shanghai were in the high concentration area; 15 prefectures and cities, such as Zhenjiang and Suzhou (Jiangsu), were tested by the 1% significance level. The number of cities with high-high concentration areas exceeded the number of low-low concentration areas, accounting for 13.2% of the total; the number of cities with the 5% significance level was 23 and included Qianjiang and Jingzhou; the total number of those in high-high gathering areas increased to 17.8% compared with the year 2010 (Figures 8 and 9).
Figure 8.
Figure 9.
It can be seen that during the study period, the area of the YREZ had a high eco-efficiency and a large concentration area, but the distribution was relatively concentrated, and most of them were distributed in the middle and lower reaches. Many low-low agglomeration areas were distributed in the middle and upper reaches of the Yangtze River, but the concentration was not obvious. With the passage of time, the low-low agglomeration areas gradually decreased, and high-low agglomeration areas began to emerge, resulting in the increasingly uneven regional eco-efficiency. In the case of spatial autocorrelation, the number of insignificant regions was the largest, indicating that these decision-making units and their surrounding areas were relatively low in eco-efficiency and slow in development (Figures 8 and 9).
4.2.3 Directional distribution
The standard deviation ellipse of different periods becomes the center of gravity and the standard deviation ellipse calculation results of the eco-efficiency of the YREZ are shown in Figures 10, 11 and
Figure 10.
Figure 11.
Year | Average center X (°) | Average center Y (°) | Standard distance X (m) | Standard distance Y(m) | The direction of the ellipse (°) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | 115.473 | 30.436 | 302346.9 | 848975.7 | 69.357 |
2005 | 113.089 | 29.552 | 313050.6 | 942349.6 | 68.645 |
2010 | 114.728 | 30.183 | 294889.3 | 893137.3 | 70.664 |
2015 | 113.453 | 30.075 | 296667.2 | 872024.5 | 70.803 |
Table 6.
Center and standard elliptic difference parameter of regional eco-efficiency
For the diffusion path of gravity, the eco-efficiency center was primarily located in the central part of Hubei (29.55°-30.43°N, 113.09°-115.47°E), i.e. the center of gravity was Huanggang in 2000, Jingzhou in 2005, Ezhou in 2010 and on the border of Jingzhou and Xiantao in 2015. The center of gravity moved to the southwest by a distance of 255.2 km from 2000 to 2005, the center of gravity moved to the northeast by a distance of 178.5 km from 2005-2010, and the center of gravity moved to the southwest by a distance of 178.5 km from 2010-2015. All in all, the change of gravity within 300 km was located in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River and underwent an alternating evolution process from northeast to southwest.
This process was reduced by the eco-efficiency of Sichuan, Yunnan, Chongqing and Guizhou. The increase-decrease-increase trend was consistent, indicating that the center shift was mainly controlled by the increase and decrease of the eco-efficiency of Sichuan, Yunnan, Chongqing and Guizhou provinces.
5 Conclusion and outlook
5.1 Conclusion
Based on the SBM-DEA model, spatial autocorrelation and standard deviation ellipse of undesired output, we set 129 geodesic cities in the YREZ as research units in 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015. The regional eco-efficiency level and spatial pattern evolution characteristics were analyzed. Results show that:
The overall change of regional eco-efficiency in the YREZ is large and irregular, especially at the provincial scale, with an “N-shaped” and uneven distribution. For prefectures and cities, regional eco-efficiency periodically fluctuates at the time scale and there are discrepancies at the spatial scales. On the basin scale, the regional eco-efficiency value of the lower reaches is the largest and is the smallest in the upper reaches.
The global autocorrelation values of regional eco-efficiency have passed the 5% significance test during the study period and show a certain volatility in the growth trend, indicating the efficiency levels of ecological factors of the decision-making units in the YREZ are not randomly distributed in spatial geography, they have significant effects on each other and have shown a certain aggregation effect. In terms of local spatial autocorrelation, the eco-efficiency of each cluster area is significant in different periods, with obvious aggregation and liquidity forming some high-high concentration areas which are centered on Shanghai and surrounding cities, with low-low clusters centered on the cities of the middle and upper reaches. With the study period changes, the spatial distribution of the decision-making units also changes, and the amplitude is large, whereas, only a few prefectures and cities with low-high aggregation zones and high-low polarization agglomeration zones do not form a certain distribution range. In terms of direct distribution, the regional eco-efficiency value shows the spatial distribution pattern in the northeast-southwest direction. The regional eco-efficiency shows the evolution pattern from northeast to southwest in different research periods. On the other hand, we analyze the regional eco-efficiency impact mechanism by constructing a spatial econometric model. Research suggests that the regional eco-efficiency of the YREB is mainly influenced by economic development level, industrial structure, scientific and technological strength, human capital, environmental regulation and other factors (all of these pass the significance test). Among these, industrial structure is the most influential factor; human capital is limited by the level of education per capita and has the least impact. We also give some policy recommendations based on research conclusions. “With respect to different influencing factors, each region must change its regional development model, and clarify its own lack of development and apply the right medicine to improve regional eco-efficiency, break down administrative barriers between cities in the region, establish a cross-regional coordinated development mechanism, and jointly build a shared watershed ecological community, and eventually realize the coordinated and sustainable development of the YREB.”
5.2 Outlook
In summary, this paper believes that the regional eco-efficiency level of the YREZ is mainly affected by factors such as economic development level, industrial structure, scientific and technological strength, human capital, environmental regulation, etc. In order to improve regional eco-efficiency of the YREZ and break down inter-regional city administrative barriers, establish a cross-regional coordinated development mechanism, and jointly build a shared watershed ecological community, all regions must change their regional development patterns, clarify their own deficiencies and finally achieve coordinated and sustainable economic development strategies.
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